Thread: Watching the tropics 2017

Well, that was quick!

Tropical Storm Harvey Forecast Discussion

Harvey has intensified quickly this morning, and is now forecast
to be a major hurricane at landfall, bringing life-threatening stormsurge, rainfall, and wind hazards to portions of the Texas coast.Preparations to protect life and property should be completed bytonight, as tropical-storm-force winds will first arrive in the hurricane and storm surge warning areas on Friday.

The effect on our area (winds and seas) will be for the most part, problematic based on the intensity of the storm/hurricane...

National Weather Service

Rest Of Today

Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 2 feet then 1 foot or less. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Tonight

Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Friday

Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Friday Night

Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday

Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday Night

Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday

East winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday Night

Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Monday

East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Monday Night

East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Very cool image from NASA's (non-operational) Goes 16 satellite of a strengthening TS Harvey...


and anticipated rainfall totals expected from the system...

It's going to bring some really powerful storms with lots of rain. 4+ inches of rain (S. Alabama) is significant, but 15 inches (may be near 2 feet in some places) or more (TX/LA) is way-dangerous! A protracted rain-event is going to have rivers overflowing their banks and it's going to compromise infrastructure (bridges/roadways) and inundate homes. I hope FEMA and other relief/emergency agencies are ready to move on this!

Here's another recent shot of the storm:

Here's that funky move that I was talking about (in general discussion) Notice the time line. The storm takes a WESTERN turn, then stalls and heads DUE EAST before it finally turns north. All that time it's dumping rain for days!

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/qu...ml?name=HARVEY


This is a better view.

Its supposed to be a CAT 3 by land fall in Texas and max storm surge at 6-12 feet.

I feel for Texas but glad to see that your area is going to be spared the brunt of Harvey.

The latest warning from the National Weather Service:
National Weather Service Text Product Display

Yikes, for TX/LA!