Thread: Issac Evacuations Posted for Mobile and Baldwin County

Right Carl, Gov Riley did the same thing with 'Denis'.
Better safe than sorry I guess. :-\
Thank You Lord, the storm is now not expected to be as close or as strong.
Hope the forecasts are right this time ;-)

Still we are expected to get HUGE waves from the storm (hurricane?) ???
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Foreca...US54.KMOB.html

TONIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 45 KNOTS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FEET BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FEET AFTER
MIDNIGHT. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERWAYS VERY ROUGH. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. EAST WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS INCREASING TO 40 TO
50 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 59 KNOTS. SEAS 13 TO 18 FEET
BUILDING TO 19 TO 25 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. BAYS AND COASTAL
WATERWAYS VERY ROUGH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SOUTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 55 KNOTS. SEAS 18 TO 24 FEET SUBSIDING TO 16 TO 22 FEET AFTER
MIDNIGHT. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERWAYS VERY ROUGH. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

WEDNESDAY
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SOUTH WINDS 35 TO
45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 55 KNOTS. SEAS 15 TO 21 FEET SUBSIDING
TO 14 TO 19 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERWAYS VERY
ROUGH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

And the NWS HPC (Hydrometeorological Prediction Center) sez rainfall potential is near 'biblical' in proportion for some locations

Flooding may become a big issue with this system!

[img width=480 height=384]http://sphotos-a.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-prn1/s480x480/531050_392655534134867_344384203_n.jpg[/img]

Stay safe everybody! :headbang:

^^^ That is one confusing graph! Why are there similar blues and greens for lightest and heaviest? Did they run out of colors?

Yes.
As in a 'bulls eye' color ranges are repeated in scientific graphics to show a wide range of variablity that exceeds the standard single range of contrasting colors.

Hope this helps!

[quote author=Pier#r link=topic=1915.msg18062#msg18062 date=1346075187]
Yes.
As in a 'bulls eye' color ranges are repeated in scientific graphics to show a wide range of variablity that exceeds the standard single range of contrasting colors.

Hope this helps!
[/quote]

Yup, that clears things up. I now know to expect anywhere from .50 of rain to 12.00 of rain.

[quote author=ChileRelleno link=topic=1915.msg18044#msg18044 date=1346060937]
We aren't leaving, it keeps moving further West.
All we're going to see at this point is strong Tropical Storm force wind and rain.
[/quote]

I agree...Just gonna wait and see...It wouldnt take me 5 minutes to get across the bridge if it turned this way.

[size=12pt][font=comic sans ms]Hopefully it will go way to the west as they are predicting, keyword is “predicting”.
However, I have seen too many of these things run up and down the coast in defiance of the predictions.
Relaxing a little, but staying tuned in.

Went to Dauphin Island this morning to set up storm surge monitoring equipment. It did not look like too many people there were worried about the storm. Only a few houses are boarded up and most people I talked to said they were staying. Good luck to those staying. On my way out I saw the county setting up road blocks for south bound traffic at the intersection of 193 and 188.

I think the main problem with people not taking this storm seriously is because it is a tropical storm right now. As much as you may not trust the models, they are the best information we have. Every model I have seen is predicting this thing to become a hurricane and once it does it could be too late to evacuate. Also, just because we are not in the "cone of death" does not mean we are out of danger. Current data is showing tropical storm force winds as far as 200 miles from the center. High winds coupled with "biblical" rainfall predictions is a recipe for disaster.

If you are planning to ride the storm out make sure you think about the worst case scenario and if you are capable of dealing with it ON YOUR OWN no one is going to come help you if you are in a mandatory evacuation zone.

Roger that Dick!

It looks like this time Tuesday the gales could be lashing the Alabama coastal waters
[img width=720 height=539]http://www.oceanweather.com/data/Gulf-of-Mexico/marineM00.gif[/img]

I guess the timing of the storm's approach to the coast makes the am astronomical high tide even more critical.
That incoming tide can add several feet to the height of peak waves along the coast. ???

[size=12pt][font=comic sans ms]Well, no sightseeing for non-residents!
“In an effort to allow time for residents to make necessary preparations to evacuate, the City of Gulf Shores will not restrict re-entry onto the island until a time to be determined. At that time, re-entry will first be restricted to all non-residents and residents residing north of the Intracoastal Waterway”

http://myemail.constantcontact.com/P...id=-1REm-9UaHE

Stay safe everyone!
God Bless!
Toby