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View Poll Results: Early Ssring or 'False, how is this manifesting in the outlook for the rest of the winter (next 9 we

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  • Winter will be 'warmer than average'

    12 70.59%
  • Winter will be 'average'

    3 17.65%
  • Winter will be 'cooler than average'

    2 11.76%
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  1. #11
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    12 ft of snow, my wife is too smart for that >

  2. #12
    We are there! Let's go fishing!!
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    Hmmm yeah Slim, temperature recording locations are going to be relative but the baselines (averages) would be different most of the time.

    Case in point, don't try to directly compare DI water temps to another location like say Perdido Pass (or the pier).
    There is often a 5 degree (or more) difference in the readings.


    That NOAA CPC (Climate Prediction Center) that Rich posted is some heavy reading, but it 'hits the bullseye' in getting a feel for the general trends expected.
    Basically, we are expected to have a drier than average winter with slighter higher than average temps. Then the spring could be close to average.

    We'll see huh?
    (RETIRED) mostly.
    Now part-time outdoor writer,
    former Pier & Shore Fishing Guide
    http://www.pierpounder.com

  3. #13
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    I have to skip the heavy parts and find something understandable like this:

    THERE ARE ENHANCED ODDS OF ABOVE NORMAL
    MEAN TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONUS FROM THE SOUTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
    REGION AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE U.S. TO
    THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM DELAWARE AND MARYLAND TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS OUTLOOK
    IS BASED LARGELY ON LA NINA COMPOSITES.....

    Reads just like the sound on the weather radio.....



  4. #14
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    Hovering in the 60s in January -- no wonder there are still spanish around.




  5. #15
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    [quote author=eddy g link=topic=503.msg4614#msg4614 date=1327020032]
    12 ft of snow, my wife is too smart for that >
    [/quote]

    It wasnt 12 foot everywhere, but these apartments were at the base of a very sloped and steep hill. A huge pile accumulated at the base in front of the apartment doors. It came over the railing, and we were on the second floor snowed in. I would say the average in most places was around 4 feet.

    It was fun once it started melting though. We acted like kids sliding down the hill in random flat objects--at least until the city came and started salting the roads. Fun times.

  6. #16
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    I went back 12yrs of rutger sea surface temps and the water temps in 2009,2010,and 2011 where the coldest of the past decade.The water temps for this Jan.have been in line with the other years in the record,where they were in the low to mid 60s.The reason that we are catching some of the things we are;is the pier is longer now.Water temp is back to average;in the 09,10,and 11,the water was 5-10 degrees colder than we might exspect.Weather is above ave.pines are raining pollen,some other trees are putting on flowers,even in Atlanta.Don't put away the winter gear yet;to average out the winter temps we are now enjoying,there will be deep drop in temps in Feb,or March will be colder than average.If I was growning peachs ,or strawberrys I would be planning to protect the early fruit sets.Years ago when Baldwin Co. was tarter county,the farmers hated the weather and temps we have this year,because they knew that there was a very good chance that the taters were going to get killed back,and they would have to replant.
    GET THE GAFF!

  7. #17
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    Boy VG you are good, my wife would never believe me If I stayed away that long at someone's else house, she would have been looking for me.

  8. #18
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    [quote author=pescador link=topic=503.msg4632#msg4632 date=1327075062]
    I went back 12yrs of rutger sea surface temps and the water temps in 2009,2010,and 2011 where the coldest of the past decade.The water temps for this Jan.have been in line with the other years in the record,where they were in the low to mid 60s.The reason that we are catching some of the things we are;is the pier is longer now.Water temp is back to average;in the 09,10,and 11,the water was 5-10 degrees colder than we might exspect.Weather is above ave.pines are raining pollen,some other trees are putting on flowers,even in Atlanta.Don't put away the winter gear yet;to average out the winter temps we are now enjoying,there will be deep drop in temps in Feb,or March will be colder than average.If I was growning peachs ,or strawberrys I would be planning to protect the early fruit sets.Years ago when Baldwin Co. was tarter county,the farmers hated the weather and temps we have this year,because they knew that there was a very good chance that the taters were going to get killed back,and they would have to replant.
    [/quote]

    Very interesting analysis of those old reports. Thanks.

  9. #19
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    I've been seeing Mahi, haven't seen any since mid-summer if that means anything. Maybe they are the groundhogs of the water!

  10. #20
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    Re: 'Early Spring' ?

    How close in-shore? I see the rare picture of ones caught from pier [which would be awesome :yippee: ], but mostly curious about water temps.

 

 
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