Thread: Watching the tropics

From Sunday 4pm NWS MOB Forecast Discussion:

Monday night Through Wednesday night/...Tropical
Depression Nine is forecast to strengthen into a tropical storm byMonday evening over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and continue aslow moving track to the west-northwest. The tropical storm is thenforecast to turn to a northerly direction Tuesday afternoon, and thenpossibly to a northeasterly direction Wednesday afternoon. ByWednesday night the system is forecast to enter into the northeasternGulf of Mexico, but this track will likley be adjusted with issuanceof each advisory. Immediate impacts from the system across theforecast area will be an increase in rip currents along the areabeaches as longer period swells generated from the system reach the northern gulf coast as early as Monday night.

Almost time to panic.
This track could easily shift west, all it would take would be a delay in the course change:

Originally Posted by CarlF

Almost time to panic.
This track could easily shift west, all it would take would be a delay in the course change:

I think it's a matter of the forward (westward) speed of TD9. The faster it moves the more westward it is when it runs into the front and gets swept NE. This should resolve itself pretty soon.

With the projected scenario we (along the Alabama coast) should be on the 'dry' side of the storm and only receive larger than normal swells Wed-Thur.
How big remains to be seen, but is problematic to the track and strength.
Right now the forecast is only for 4 to 5 feet...
National Weather Service

There is ZERO to panic about from this.

Ah, come on, not even a little bit of panic???

Here is the mandatory OMGs and ONOZs for those who watch the Weather Channel or CNN...


;-) lol

Now Tropical Storm Hermine:

Everybody say hello to Hurricane Hermine!
Some of those folks in the Big Bend might have cause to panic... Maybe just little.