Just got an email from Lamar and he said they had about half the down lights pulled but not pulling any panels. It would probably bust them apart anyway so they figured just put new ones in if they are blown out. HAHA!
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Just got an email from Lamar and he said they had about half the down lights pulled but not pulling any panels. It would probably bust them apart anyway so they figured just put new ones in if they are blown out. HAHA!
@ 6:30am Steve Jones captured this image of the pier...
https://scontent-dfw5-2.xx.fbcdn.net...5e&oe=5C35CC34
Let's hope and pray it just as intact Wednesday morning!
Here is a link to the water level at Perdido Pass...Quote:
Originally Posted by CarlF
http://www.mymobilebay.com/stationda...e=1&SciUnits=1
Here is a link to other tide stations around the Alabama coast...
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/po...&mode=allwater
Just saw an updated forecast calling for it to hit most of AL. Good luck all and be safe.
Y'all be safe tonight and in the morning! Prayers coming from us Indiana folk for all our southern friends in the path of Gordon.!
Rain bands are just now moving into our area, the eye wall is showing up well on radar now too.
Its going to be an interesting night.
You guys stay safe down there. Sending prayers from North Alabama. Keep us posted!
The pier closed @ 2pm
@ 4pm Buoy 42012 had wind gusts near 50 mph and seas over 11 feet.
Waves of that size can be seen (offshore SE of the pier) on these videos taken by Ritchie Russel...
https://www.facebook.com/ritchie.russell/videos/pcb.2040819299310132/2040818122643583/?type=3&theater
Get everything tied down and stay safe under cover
6pm in Mobile and things are already getting a little sporty outside, winds steady around 20 mph with higher gusts.
I took a peek at the seas from the beach and with the short reach and WNW direction of travel the waves coming ashore are not that bad as far as something that might damage the pier. The waves are not very organized - really choppy. That may change in a few hours when the south wind hits, but I hope not.
I may be wrong, but I think the pier should be fine.
Edit: 8:00 pm - Ouch. Winds are dropping, but moving to the south. Wave heights are still building and the surge is increasing at Perdido Pass.
Prayers sent for nothing torn up any where
Ya'll guys stay safe..Prayers coming from North Ga
It looks like we dodged a bullet-not meaning that there isn't damage but it could have been much worse. Here on the east side of Foley there are a lot of smaller limbs down and a fair amount of ponding water, Wolf Bay is what looks like 1 1/2' above high tide.
7:30 am Wade Dunn reported:
Quote:
Talked to pier. Lost 6 -7 boards/panels. Going to open soon to the octi, and shouldn’t take long (today) to fix the remainder.
Hiya fellas. Was considering planning a trip to the pier next weekend (15th and 16th), driving down from Birmingham. Just wanted to know if the weather will be cleared out by then. Any suggestions? I'd hate to make the trip all the way down and get rained out.
Glad you all made it out ok. Looks like it is our turn to get a blow this week here in the carolinas
It already has.Quote:
Originally Posted by Striperlover
Back to typical summertime weather pattern with a fair chance of rain part of any given day.
Probably not a whole lot different from B'ham ;-)
Here we go again...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_5d0.png
Now a 'high probability' of development by early next week!
And most of the computer models show a TS moving northward to the north-northeast by mid week.
This MAY be more of a Florida panhandle problem, but too early to tell for sure...
Marine Weather Forecast Pascagoula to Pensacola out 20 nm
Quote:
SundayEast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday NightEast winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 18 to 23 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
MondayEast winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Monday NightEast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
TuesdayEast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas around 6 feet building to around 8 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday NightSoutheast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 10 to 12 feet. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
WednesdaySoutheast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 11 to 13 feet. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday Night
East winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas around 6 feet subsiding to around 4 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Tropical Depression XIV is expected to strengthen as it moves northward into the central GoM early this week, and become hurricane "Michael" before it reaches the Florida Panhandle...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...e_and_wind.png
On this trajectory the GSPPier would certainly be spared the worst, but could still receive swells large enough to create problems Wednesday morning at high tide...
Looks like the slower it moves the farther east it makes landfall because of the approaching front. GFS is one of the more westerly forecasts, UKMET the most easterly.
Latest run (4:00 pm Sunday) has Michael slowing down and making landfall Wednesday afternoon east of PC, near Port St. Jo., but stronger as a Cat2.
Western edge of the cone is now at about the Florida line. This may not be our turn.
Whoops, I see Pier#r has updated the map, above.
"Michael" is now classified a hurricane and predicted to become a 'major' one sometime Tuesday until landfall Wednesday somewhere near Cape San Blas, FL.
Our forecast remains problematic due to the influence and proximity of this system:
The possibility certainly exists for swells of sufficient size to damage the GSPPier Tuesday night and thru much of Wednesday!Quote:
Synopsis: Hurricane Michael, in the Yucatan Channel, emerges into the southern Gulf late today and lifts northward over the central Gulf Tuesday. As Michael approaches the northeast Gulf of Mexico coast, expect increasing winds, high seas and increased rain chances heading into the middle of the week. Stay tuned for the very latest updates on Hurricane Michael.
Rest Of TodayEast winds 18 to 23 knots. Seas 6 to 7 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
TonightTropical storm conditions possible. East winds 20 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots. Seas around 8 feet building to around 11 feet. Dominant wave period 9 seconds. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
TuesdayTropical storm conditions possible. East winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 13 to 15 feet. Dominant wave period 14 seconds. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday NightTropical storm conditions possible. East winds 25 to 30 knots becoming northeast. Seas around 15 feet building to around 17 feet. Dominant wave period 14 seconds. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
WednesdayHurricane conditions possible. North winds 25 to 30 knots becoming northwest. Seas around 17 feet. Dominant wave period 14 seconds. Showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday NightTropical storm conditions possible. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
ThursdayNorthwest winds 13 to 18 knots becoming north. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 8 seconds. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday NightNorth winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds.
Friday
North winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
I hope they at least removed the 'down' lights?
They were pulling the down lights while I was there today #r
Praying for all in Michael's path. Y'all stay safe down there!
Did you all notice that the LOW on both Thursday and Friday is supposed to be 59 degrees?
That's in Mobile and other places inland.
It will be several degrees warmer on the coast because the water is still in the low 80s.
But Lower 60s in the morning sounds GREAT!
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...9#.W7zw4GhKjcs
[QUOTE=Pier#r;132006]
Lower 60s in the morning sounds GREAT!
[/QUOTE]
My hope is that a little cooler weather will usher-in the whiting and croaker bite. And maybe it will get the speckled trout/redfish feeding again! I suppose that asking for a king mackerel chew-down is asking too much?
Myself, hoping ALL the sharks freeze to death (slowly and painfully ;-)
Yes, maybe the bite will be more like what we expect to see in the fall.
Just wish the flies won't get too bad on the beach!
Mid day update from NHC...
https://scontent-dfw5-1.xx.fbcdn.net...9e&oe=5C4E94CE
Quote:
...EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE MICHAEL MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO......LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...
Hurricane Michael is centered as of 1 p.m. CDT over the eastern Gulf of Mexico about 335 miles (540 km) south of Panama City, Florida. On the forecast track, the center of Michael will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight, then move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday, and then move northeastward across the southeastern United States Wednesday night and Thursday, and move off the Mid-Atlantic coast away from the United States by Friday.
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts - a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is expected, and Michael is forecast to be a major hurricane at landfall in Florida. Weakening is expected after landfall as Michael moves through the southeastern United States. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from the Okaloosa County Line Florida to Anclote River Florida. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from the Anclote River to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay, and from the Alabama/Florida border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line, Florida. A Hurricane Warning is in effect from the Alabama/Florida border to Suwannee River Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Alabama/Florida border to the Mississippi/Alabama border, and from the Suwanee River to Chassahowitzka Florida. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from Chassahowitzka to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay; the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Mouth of the Pearl River, and from Fernandina Beach, Florida, to South Santee River, South Carolina. Interests elsewhere across the southeastern United States should monitor the progress of Michael.
For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office www.weather.gov For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
Text complete advisory will be issued at 4 p.m. CDT - www.hurricanes.gov
Wow, what a marine forecast!
God bless and protect those in the path of this...
Quote:
Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line
FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM
-314 PM EDT Tue Oct 9 2018
HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT
TONIGHT Hurricane conditions. East winds 30 to 35 knots with gusts to around 60 knots becoming southeast 57 to 67 knots with gusts to around 80 knots after midnight. Seas 25 feet building to 49 feet with occasional seas up to 62 feet. Dominant period 11 seconds. Protected waters extremely rough. Showers and thunderstorms.
WEDNESDAY Hurricane conditions expected. Southeast winds 69 to 79 knots with gusts to around 110 knots becoming southwest 59 to 69 knots with gusts to around 95 knots in the afternoon. Seas 59 feet with occasional seas up to 75 feet subsiding to 38 feet with occasional seas up to 48 feet. Dominant period 11 seconds. Protected waters extremely rough. Showers and thunderstorms.
Michael is forecast to pass over (about 20-30 miles west) buoy 42039. That should provide some interesting data, at least for as long as the buoy lasts.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=42039
Excerpt from NOAA's 10pm Forecast
"Similar to the previous advisory, the environment ahead of Michael is expected to remain conducive for additional strengthening until landfall occurs due to SSTs of at least 85 deg F beneath the hurricane, combined with decreasing vertical wind shear along with the shear vector shifting from current west-northwesterly to a less hostile southwesterly component, which will be more along Michael's forecast track. As a result, Michael is now explicitly forecast to become a category 4 hurricane before landfall occurs. "
Indeed, "Michael" did continue strengthening through the night (to 140 mph) and that trend is expected to continue until landfall later today.
The circulation can be well seen on radar now... https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?...d=evx&loop=yes
Buoy 42039 lies in the path of the hurricane and the readings from it are astounding... (waves over 30 feet now!) https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=42039
Also there is a weather and tide station on the Panama City Beach Pier...
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=pcbf1
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/st...tml?id=8729210
And being a daytime landfalling hurricane, these available beach cams (copied from Storm2k) should provide a glimpse of the 'Armageddon' being unleashed upon that stretch of coastline...
Panama City Beach (Gulfcrest Cam) - https://stream.webcams.travel/1397859754
Panama City Beach (Pineapple Willy's) - https://pwillys.com/beach-cam/
Panama City Beach (Calypso) - calypsowebcam.com
Panama City Beach (Emerald View) - http://www.emeraldviewresorts.com/panam ... h-web-cam/
Panama City Beach (Holiday Inn) - https://www.hipcbeach.com/holiday-inn-resort-beach-cam/
Panama City Beach (Runaway Island) - https://runawayislandpcb.com/panama-city-beach-webcam/
Panama City Beach (Sandpiper Beacon) - https://sandpiperbeacon.com/panama-city ... m/fun-cam/
Panama City Beach (Schooners) - https://www.schooners.com/multimedia/sunsetcam.htm
Panama City Beach (Shark's) - https://seahavenbeach.com/panama-city/webcams/sharkys/
Panama City Beach (Spinnaker) - https://spinnakerbeachclub.com/beach-web-cams/
Easy Panama City Beach (By the Seas) - https://bythesearesorts.com/east-panama ... -live-cam/
St. Andrews Bay (Barefoot) - https://bythesearesorts.com/st-andrews-bay-live-cam/
Alys Beach Webcam - Alys Beach Webcam
Seaside Beach (Bud & Alley's) - https://www.budandalleys.com/webcam/
Choctawhatchee Bay - https://30a.com/bay-cam
Destin Beach (Ocean Reef) - https://www.oceanreefresorts.com/beachc ... -beach-cam
Saint Joes - http://www.hurricanetrack.com/ (may need the App or a Sub for Mark Sudduth's cams)
Our thoughts and prayers are certainly with those caught in its path!
Though the Alabama coast will be spared the worst, I fear with waves at 42012 now at 15 feet, there will be damage to the GSPPier. Pray God, for its protection! And spare those in jeopardy today!!!
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_pa...?station=42012
Buoy 42039 has not reported since 4:50 CDT (the storm was still approaching).
Buoys 42040 and 42012 ("our" buoys) show wind and waves starting to subside. Maybe we've seen the worst for us. 42012 shows waves at 14.8, but remember, that is an average of the highest waves - individual waves can be twice that.
Has anybody put "eyes on" the pier?
"Hogman" is nearby.
Milton Rittelmeyer was onsite...
https://www.facebook.com/milton.ritt...5950283636322/
It's still there (no word on any damage), and the waves though YUGE, are decreasing!
https://scontent-dfw5-1.xx.fbcdn.net...dc&oe=5C1ACEBF
Another fb video (this one by Norman Miles)
https://www.facebook.com/norman.mile...7428263968352/
Milton RittelmeyerQuote:
Had a few panels popped out. Nothing major yet but still a possibility.
https://www.ipcamlive.com/5b3e55bf3cdf5 Here's Navarre Pier!